Politics UK
Can You Trust Election Polling Data? – TLDR News
Order a copy of our magazine Too Long: https://toolong.news/TL008
With young people finding it harder to find jobs, a recent report suggest that more than 1.2 million young people will be out of work in the next five years if action is not taken soon. In this video, we’re taking a look at this crisis, how we got here, and how it’s affecting the economy.
📰 Too Long: https://toolong.news/
🎉 TLDR Party: https://toolong.news/pages/tldr-party
📖 Read our Manifesto: https://tldrnews.co.uk/manifesto
Our mission is to explain news and politics in an impartial, efficient, and accessible way, balancing import and interest while fostering independent thought.
TLDR is a completely independent & privately owned media company that’s not afraid to tackle the issues we think are most important. The channel is run by a small group of young people, with us hoping to pass on our enthusiasm for politics to other young people. We are primarily fan sourced with most of our funding coming from donations and ad revenue. No shady corporations, no one telling us what to say. We can’t wait to grow further and help more people get informed. Help support us by subscribing, engaging and sharing. Thanks!
Sources:
FT UK Risks Lost Generation Without More Jobs for Young People
https://www.ft.com/content/4c09b20f-11df-420e-be47-ce7dfea6efac?syn-25a6b1a6=1
BBC News One in Six Young People Will Not Be in Work or Training in Five Years
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/cy026x9jpd0o
FT Five University Leavers on What it Really Takes to Land a Graduate Job
https://www.ft.com/content/16e2d97b-29e0-4a16-805e-f79ec2b15a5f
The Guardian Number of Young People out of Work or Training Could Hit 1.25 Million
https://www.theguardian.com/money/2026/may/27/neets-could-hit-125m-by-early-2030s-milburn-review-young-people-employment-uk
Gov UK Young People and Work: Interim Report
https://www.gov.uk/government/publications/young-people-and-work-interim-report/young-people-and-work-interim-report#chapter-7-the-architecture–a-system-in-name-not-in-design
One Million Futures Youth Unemployment is an Existential Crisis
https://onemillionfutures.substack.com/p/youth-unemployment-is-an-existential-crisis
The Telegraph Youth Unemployment Crisis Now Worse than Spain’s and Greece’s
https://www.telegraph.co.uk/money/jobs/career-advice/britains-youth-unemployment-problem-worse-than-greece-spain/
Guardian News Alan Milburn Address
BBC News Opportunities Shrinking for Too Many Young People
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/cy026x9jpd0o
0:00 – Introduction
1:22 – How Bad is the Crisis?
5:33 – Cost of the Crisis
7:21 – Too Long
source
Order a copy of our magazine Too Long: https://toolong.news/TL008
In this video, we thought we’d try our best to figure out why support for Scottish independence is quietly but steadily ticking up; and whether this could actually lead to the break up of the UK.
📰 Too Long: https://toolong.news/
🎉 TLDR Party: https://toolong.news/pages/tldr-party
📖 Read our Manifesto: https://tldrnews.co.uk/manifesto
Our mission is to explain news and politics in an impartial, efficient, and accessible way, balancing import and interest while fostering independent thought.
TLDR is a completely independent & privately owned media company that’s not afraid to tackle the issues we think are most important. The channel is run by a small group of young people, with us hoping to pass on our enthusiasm for politics to other young people. We are primarily fan sourced with most of our funding coming from donations and ad revenue. No shady corporations, no one telling us what to say. We can’t wait to grow further and help more people get informed. Help support us by subscribing, engaging and sharing. Thanks!
0:00 Why is Support for Scottish Independence Rising?
6:59 Sponsor
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As the Tories were voted out of office nearly two years ago, there was a sense of optimism of change that Labour could delivery. But, with yet another scandal on Starmer’s doorstep, we’re taking a look at whether Britain has become ungovernable and if so, why.
📰 Too Long: https://toolong.news/
🎉 TLDR Party: https://toolong.news/pages/tldr-party
📖 Read our Manifesto: https://tldrnews.co.uk/manifesto
Our mission is to explain news and politics in an impartial, efficient, and accessible way, balancing import and interest while fostering independent thought.
TLDR is a completely independent & privately owned media company that’s not afraid to tackle the issues we think are most important. The channel is run by a small group of young people, with us hoping to pass on our enthusiasm for politics to other young people. We are primarily fan sourced with most of our funding coming from donations and ad revenue. No shady corporations, no one telling us what to say. We can’t wait to grow further and help more people get informed. Help support us by subscribing, engaging and sharing. Thanks!
Sam Freedman Why Do Prime Ministers Keep Failing
https://samf.substack.com/p/why-do-prime-ministers-keep-failing
Simon Nixon Very British Problems, Ungovernable Britain
https://nixons.substack.com/p/very-british-problems
The Guardian The Ungovernable Country?
https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2026/may/17/the-ungovernable-country-why-britain-keeps-losing-prime-ministers
BBC News Is It Harder than Ever to be the Prime Minister
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/cqjpe7q0j1xo
CNN Is Britain Ungovernable
https://edition.cnn.com/2026/05/16/uk/uk-government-prime-minister-leadership-starmer-ungovernable-latam-intl
New Statesman Has Britain become an Ungovernable Country
https://www.newstatesman.com/editors-note/2026/05/has-britain-become-an-ungovernable-country
Institute for Government Is the UK Ungovernable
https://www.instituteforgovernment.org.uk/comment/is-uk-ungovernable
YouGov Public Services Polling
https://yougov.com/en-gb/articles/50820-britons-say-public-services-are-bad-but-they-arent-willing-to-pay-more-to-fix-them
YouGov Cost of Living Polling
https://yougov.com/en-gb/articles/48815-voters-want-cost-of-living-assistance-more-than-increased-funding-for-public-services
00:00 – Introduction
02:20 – Structural Factors
05:19 – Bad PMs
07:10 – Proton Mail
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With a by-election set to be held in a Manchester constituency, the path towards Andy Burnham being able to challenge Keir Starmer has opened up and it’s now looking more likely that he becomes the next Prime Minister. So is this now inevitable?
📰 Too Long: https://toolong.news/
🎉 TLDR Party: https://toolong.news/pages/tldr-party
📖 Read our Manifesto: https://tldrnews.co.uk/manifesto
Our mission is to explain news and politics in an impartial, efficient, and accessible way, balancing import and interest while fostering independent thought.
TLDR is a completely independent & privately owned media company that’s not afraid to tackle the issues we think are most important. The channel is run by a small group of young people, with us hoping to pass on our enthusiasm for politics to other young people. We are primarily fan sourced with most of our funding coming from donations and ad revenue. No shady corporations, no one telling us what to say. We can’t wait to grow further and help more people get informed. Help support us by subscribing, engaging and sharing. Thanks!
source
Subscribe to Too Long: https://toolong.news/
Learn More About TLDR Party: https://toolong.news/party
What’s the Big Deal with Greenland Documentary: https://toolong.news/pages/whats-the-big-deal-with-greenland
The last few days have been particularly turbulent for Keir Starmer, with a significant number of his own MPs calling for him to resign after the parties election results last week. However, Starmer still seems to be holding on. So what happens now?
📰 Too Long: https://toolong.news/
🎉 TLDR Party: https://toolong.news/pages/tldr-party
📖 Read our Manifesto: https://tldrnews.co.uk/manifesto
Our mission is to explain news and politics in an impartial, efficient, and accessible way, balancing import and interest while fostering independent thought.
TLDR is a completely independent & privately owned media company that’s not afraid to tackle the issues we think are most important. The channel is run by a small group of young people, with us hoping to pass on our enthusiasm for politics to other young people. We are primarily fan sourced with most of our funding coming from donations and ad revenue. No shady corporations, no one telling us what to say. We can’t wait to grow further and help more people get informed. Help support us by subscribing, engaging and sharing. Thanks!
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@wickedleeloopy2115
January 14, 2024 at 8:05 am
All this proves is news media polls are pointless..if these polls were taken before the pandemic. Alot of the voters could have changed there mind….or even died. So polling it pointless.
@jazminecast.5288
January 14, 2024 at 8:05 am
Basically it’s the equivalent to the puppy bowl
@mastersr1956
January 14, 2024 at 8:05 am
sure you can, ask hillary
@RickMyBalls
January 14, 2024 at 8:05 am
As a houseowner I'm offended.
@mayolicious69
January 14, 2024 at 8:05 am
Imagine being someone who can be bothered to poll but not vote…
@anneeq008
January 14, 2024 at 8:05 am
Of course you can, although people have developed some childhood propensity to be hipsters and go against predictions just for the sake of going against the trends
@mabit
January 14, 2024 at 8:05 am
If you want to stay unbiased then when giving these examples use Party A, Party B.
@Thorpean
January 14, 2024 at 8:05 am
Political reform should be mandatory after the elections. We shouldn't have to do video's on YouTube of how we mistrust our voting system.
@monkeycchain
January 14, 2024 at 8:05 am
I think it'd be better if election polling wasn't a thing so that people wouldn't be influenced by the poll telling them who's most popular
@thehaffytaffy
January 14, 2024 at 8:05 am
The YouGov polling is currently suggesting a Tory majority…, 🤔
@JourneyLT
January 14, 2024 at 8:05 am
So yes, the polls are fake because they don't take into account occurrences that haven't happened before, but now could, or will happen because of changing circumstances. I strongly predict that youth turnout will be much higher than it has been in the last few elections. Rates of young people registering to vote have never been higher than they are right now. Young people are becoming more politically involved.
@Mr_Squarepeg
January 14, 2024 at 8:05 am
Huh interesting 🙂
@justwobert9850
January 14, 2024 at 8:05 am
Techy mistake 08 numbers aren't mobile, 07 numbers are.
@googlebarbaralernerspectre2581
January 14, 2024 at 8:05 am
Everyone I know is voting brexit party…
@HMCarReviews
January 14, 2024 at 8:05 am
They are trend line tho. If you aggregate all polls you might get a better accuracy but you don't know until the actual results.
@iyamaxx
January 14, 2024 at 8:05 am
ohh never trust Rasmussen. I know polling is scientific but Rasmussen is incredibly partisan. Check their Twitter it's crazy.
@seanthephilosopher4532
January 14, 2024 at 8:05 am
That's all fake!
@fisher1907
January 14, 2024 at 8:05 am
I trust prof John curtice.
Labour are goners
@matthewrichard9626
January 14, 2024 at 8:05 am
Using Survations (MRP) newest poll the Conservative are 14 points ahead and will win with a 108 majority.
@antontzonev5410
January 14, 2024 at 8:05 am
Hey, huge fan, even feeling confident enough to be doing a presentation on brexit at uni because of your channel. That aside, Id say there were some misconceptions in the video from a statistics point of view. I dont believe you can infer that people forget how they voted based on asking a sample at time t1 (before election) and t2 (after election) (not sure if the samples are different or not but still wouldnt matter) of how each person voted. You see, if the sample is the same at both t1 and t2, at t1 a person would report his/her intention to vote for party X, which does not necessarily mean that a person cannot change his/her opinion on the actual election and report a different party at t2. If the sample is different at t1 and t2, well then its just the variance of the samples that results in the difference with the actual result.
@tbrminsanity
January 14, 2024 at 8:05 am
In Canada there is a source called 338 (owned by the magazine Maclean's). They did a good job predicting the election in Canada using an aggregate method. They were off by 2% in the end.
@paddymccoy
January 14, 2024 at 8:05 am
No. Designed to galvanise votes.
Massively helped Brexit not get more votes from unvoted sample due to 12/1 odds based on polls.
@damiansmart3269
January 14, 2024 at 8:05 am
Interesting vid, but you forgot the most important thing, who backs/funds each polling company…….
@jaw1630
January 14, 2024 at 8:05 am
Yes I believe you can..14 point lead and just under 4 wks to go… labour hemorrhaging voters up and down country…heartlands wont forget there broken promises…there position on brexit..migration .. xmas has come early for conservatives
@MyCoolMac
January 14, 2024 at 8:05 am
5/10 = 1/2. 🙂
@deborahhobbins7131
January 14, 2024 at 8:05 am
no, you cannot trust the polls, ipros Mori rang me and only wanted my sons' vote, not mine as I am too old! same with the under 30's they only want the over 30's to 50's how can that be accurate?
@seandent5141
January 14, 2024 at 8:05 am
I'd like to see a video translating how a i.e. 38% vote translates into a 10 point lead for example and how that then projects a majority of sayyy 80. I just don't get it & would love some help understanding this
@Super-Sheepy
January 14, 2024 at 8:05 am
I just baste it on people I know, and the fact so many Labour voters are student's, most students don't care too much about voting or politics and generally are less likely to turn up
@davidcwitkin6729
January 14, 2024 at 8:05 am
Pollsters test for everything BUT age, race, ethnicity, religion, immigration status, sexual orientation, gender identity, and handicap status? WTF? That's NUTS. No wonder they get it wrong.
@SamButler22
January 14, 2024 at 8:05 am
Wasn't not trusting Poles why people voted to leave?
@patrikszabo7966
January 14, 2024 at 8:05 am
It could also be that some pollsters are paid by one candidate/party or another to misrepresent the public opinion in a way they believe will benefit them. For instance, showing them winning when they're actually predicted to be losing, or showing them to be winning by a slight margin even though the honest poll predicts a landslide victory. Or is that some Eastern Europe specific stuff that doesn't usually happen in better-established democracies?
@trainman07011
January 14, 2024 at 8:05 am
Trust the oddsmakers, how often are they wrong?
@SJW2511
January 14, 2024 at 8:05 am
Can you trust your biased news channel?
@teknobeatno
January 14, 2024 at 8:05 am
TLDR news, can you please make a video describing the mechanics of First Past The Post system, its pros and cons and alternative systems that are used elsewhere in the world?
@Spookynoises125
January 14, 2024 at 8:05 am
Could we not call researched science "fancy maths". It really feels like its playing into the culture of "we don't need experts"