Politics UK
The Exit Poll: Can You Trust It? – TLDR Explains
Election Night Livestream: https://youtu.be/utsJPo9rR5s
One of the most important moments of election night is the release of the exit poll. The exit poll tries to gauge how people voted and which party will hold power at the end of the night. In this video, we discuss how they do it and if the results can truly be trusted.
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As oil drilling moves closer to reality, we explore how it could transform the Falkland Islands’ economy, politics, and long-running sovereignty dispute with Argentina.
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SOURCES
FT Argentina Angered By Prospect of Oil Boom in Falklands
https://www.ft.com/content/ce25f41d-49e2-42e3-956e-dab0de9301e4?syn-25a6b1a6=1
The Times Drilling to go Ahead at Sea Lion Oilfield
https://www.thetimes.com/business/companies-markets/article/drilling-confirmed-sea-lion-oil-field-rockhopper-falklands-5nz8npwpw
The Times Falkland Islands $4bn Oil Bonanza
https://www.thetimes.com/business/economics/article/falkland-islands-4bn-boost-oilfield-go-ahead-6crtkvqzk
Yahoo Finance The Falklands are Turning into a Mini Dubai
https://finance.yahoo.com/economy/articles/falklands-quietly-turning-next-dubai-180437990.html
BBC News Quick Guide: The Falklands Economy
http://news.bbc.co.uk/nol/shared/spl/hi/picture_gallery/07/in_pictures_the_falklands_economy/print.stm
0:00 How the Falklands are Becoming a Petrostate
7:07 Sponsor
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The UK government recently released a green paper outlining plans that could fundamentally change the way YouTube works in the UK – favouring public service broadcasters (like the BBC) and potentially killing independent creators (like us).
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🎉 TLDR Party: https://toolong.news/pages/tldr-party
📖 Read our Manifesto: https://tldrnews.co.uk/manifesto
Our mission is to explain news and politics in an impartial, efficient, and accessible way, balancing import and interest while fostering independent thought.
TLDR is a completely independent & privately owned media company that’s not afraid to tackle the issues we think are most important. The channel is run by a small group of young people, with us hoping to pass on our enthusiasm for politics to other young people. We are primarily fan sourced with most of our funding coming from donations and ad revenue. No shady corporations, no one telling us what to say. We can’t wait to grow further and help more people get informed. Help support us by subscribing, engaging and sharing. Thanks!
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In this video, we’re going to have a look into the Clacton by-election, why the other parties have stood down, what Farage’s plan is, and why it seems like it may have already backfired.
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📖 Read our Manifesto: https://tldrnews.co.uk/manifesto
Our mission is to explain news and politics in an impartial, efficient, and accessible way, balancing import and interest while fostering independent thought.
TLDR is a completely independent & privately owned media company that’s not afraid to tackle the issues we think are most important. The channel is run by a small group of young people, with us hoping to pass on our enthusiasm for politics to other young people. We are primarily fan sourced with most of our funding coming from donations and ad revenue. No shady corporations, no one telling us what to say. We can’t wait to grow further and help more people get informed. Help support us by subscribing, engaging and sharing. Thanks!
SOURCES
Telegraph Farage By-Election Gamble Turns to Farce
https://www.telegraph.co.uk/politics/2026/07/07/farage-resigns-but-by-election-gamble-turns-to-farce/
BBC News Farage’s Political Rivals Rule Out Standing in Clacton
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/cjdg4y3g0z7o
The Guardian Political Rivals Vow to Boycott By-Election
https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2026/jul/07/nigel-farage-quits-as-mp-amid-scrunity-over-finances-clacton-reform
Politics Home Labour and Tories Refuse to Field Candidates
https://www.politicshome.com/news/article/labour-tories-refuse-stand-candidates-clacton-byelection
Politico Badenoch Says Farage Cracking Under the Pressure
https://www.politico.eu/article/kemi-badenoch-nigel-farage-pressure-by-election/
0:00 Nigel Farage vs Count Binface: The Clacton By-Election Explained
6:47 Sponsor
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It seems pretty much a certainty that Andy Burnham will be the next British prime minister. Exactly when it happens depends on a few factors. We outline some of the reasons an early general election is likely.
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📖 Read our Manifesto: https://tldrnews.co.uk/manifesto
Our mission is to explain news and politics in an impartial, efficient, and accessible way, balancing import and interest while fostering independent thought.
TLDR is a completely independent & privately owned media company that’s not afraid to tackle the issues we think are most important. The channel is run by a small group of young people, with us hoping to pass on our enthusiasm for politics to other young people. We are primarily fan sourced with most of our funding coming from donations and ad revenue. No shady corporations, no one telling us what to say. We can’t wait to grow further and help more people get informed. Help support us by subscribing, engaging and sharing. Thanks!
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@jakelownds8878
December 31, 2023 at 2:17 am
Is it ok to say I don’t like the exit poll because it ruins it. I want to wait and get results gradually the exit poll feels like a spoiler
@daviniarobbins9298
December 31, 2023 at 2:17 am
The exit poll predicts how many seats a party will get within a band of 20 seats either way and it gives the middle figure which was 368 for the Tories. This meant it could have been any number between 348 and 388 seats for the Tories meaning if it was out by under 20 they got a majority of 40 and if it was out by over 20 a majority of 120. Anyway the poll predicted a Tory majority even if it over estimated the Tory vote. There was no way Labour were going to win unless the poll was way, way, way out.
I think the problem with the '92 exit poll was it had never been done before and there was no accurate data to compare it with. There was no exit poll in the '87 election. That was just an opinion poll done in one area.
@PonzooonTheGreat
December 31, 2023 at 2:17 am
Well, yes. But actually yes.
@jemdragons3120
December 31, 2023 at 2:17 am
In response to your poll today on how to improve UK elections – please can you make a video explaining the difference between FPTP and Proportional Representation? Or if it already exists can someone please point me to it? Thank you very much. ♥️
@emiwaybantai1035
December 31, 2023 at 2:17 am
I set a reminder for the live but didn't get any notifications… I was really excited to watch it, I thought it was postponed, removed or something 🙁
@aadams6732
December 31, 2023 at 2:17 am
No I don’t trust anything Johnson flipping says
@peterskrobola8753
December 31, 2023 at 2:17 am
365-203 conservatives
@khben1353
December 31, 2023 at 2:17 am
It seems unfair for the LD compared to the the SNP for example. They got ~11% of the votes to take only 11 seats versus 3.9% for 48 seats.. Can you elaborate on that point?
@imeverywhere9633
December 31, 2023 at 2:17 am
I don't get it, what's the point of the exit poll?
you'll find out the actual results the next day
@stevieinselby
December 31, 2023 at 2:17 am
One issue that probably needs to be considered now is that polling stations don't "close" at 10pm. They close the queue, which is different. If you're in the queue at 10pm, even if you're still outside, you're allowed to vote. And with almost everyone having smartphones these days, there is a greater risk that anyone still in the queue can access the exit poll if it is called at 10pm, which could influence their vote.
@Medeasbiggestfan
December 31, 2023 at 2:17 am
Yes
@wrenchdoozer
December 31, 2023 at 2:17 am
Short answer: Apparently yes.
Shorter answer: Yes.
@darrenjackson2281
December 31, 2023 at 2:17 am
I find corruption in the Exit poll. How does it display the exact number of seats. And when the ballot papers are counted its correct. The exit polls are surveyed to 20,000 people.
@M3PH11
December 31, 2023 at 2:17 am
BBC Parliament wasn't a thing in 92. I think the BBC wants their segment back.
@JohnSmith-nz4bn
December 31, 2023 at 2:17 am
Based on the actual results, apparently yes Hahaha
Only just seeing this video now after I've seen the results.
@karared5980
December 31, 2023 at 2:17 am
FPTP needs to go, desperately.
@acacia1986
December 31, 2023 at 2:17 am
Honestly, it’s hard to trust you guys recently when you release videos with errors multiple times and obviously can’t even be bothered to have a final watch of your videos.
@sykessaul123
December 31, 2023 at 2:17 am
TLDR: no, but also yes.
@Willopo100
December 31, 2023 at 2:17 am
I love how people thought this election was going to be close. People who watch this channel think they know politics but you clearly live in a bubble.
@bax323
December 31, 2023 at 2:17 am
Looks like the British are tired of the liberals force feeding their ideas down their throats just like here in the US.