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Why Labour’s By-Election Win is a Disaster for Sunak and the SNP

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On Thursday, voters in the Scottish constituency of Rutherglen and Hamilton West went to the polls to elect their new MP in a much-anticipated by-election. with the results being far more of a landslide for Labour than expected. But what does this mean for Sunak and the SNP?

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1 – https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2023/oct/06/labour-beats-snp-in-rutherglen-and-hamilton-west-byelection-michael-shanks
2 – https://simd.scot/#/simd2020/BTTTFTT/11.196458175623874/-4.1748/55.7949/
3 – https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Glasgow_effect
4 – https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_countries_by_life_expectancy
5 – https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Glasgow_effect
6 – https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_countries_by_life_expectancy
7 – https://www.electoralcalculus.co.uk/polls_scot.html
8 – https://twitter.com/tobyperkinsmp/status/1710165293903868281?s=20
9 – https://twitter.com/BNHWalker/status/1710097493256544631?s=20
10 – https://www.ft.com/content/33bc5790-2b7b-4d2a-9749-64cd04cfc857
11 – https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2015/mar/09/tory-election-poster-ed-miliband-pocket-snp-alex-salmond
12 – https://www.thenational.scot/news/23775768.humza-yousaf-popularity-since-snp-leadership-race—poll/
13 – https://www.thenational.scot/news/23775768.humza-yousaf-popularity-since-snp-leadership-race—poll/

0:00 – Introduction
1:33 – Context
4:02 – The Results Explained
4:51 – What Do The Results Mean?
7:40 – Sponsored Content

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44 Comments

44 Comments

  1. @denniskrust2137

    December 18, 2023 at 6:29 pm

    The Sturgeons' corruption doomed Scottish independence and the SNP in the near term.

  2. @jellyboy123

    December 18, 2023 at 6:29 pm

    Nicola sturgeon took thousands and left before the s@@t hit the fan..the guy they got now Humza Yousaf wants thousands of migrants in Scotland. I think SNP have destroyed their party and the Scottish don’t forget.

  3. @scotthendry6298

    December 18, 2023 at 6:29 pm

    Get the country sorted b4 you start on about independence. Humza and the snp are dead men walking .He's more interested in Palestine

  4. @martynius

    December 18, 2023 at 6:29 pm

    Labour making gains in Scotland, but have committed suicide in Wales, have lost many Muslim voters and lost support with Khan and ULEZ in London. My money still on the Conservatives winning, with a reduced majority.

  5. @MaxMustermann-pl1cg

    December 18, 2023 at 6:29 pm

    not watchable… thx youtube for 5 adds in this video. Big dislike here

  6. @Turai12

    December 18, 2023 at 6:29 pm

    Hope not. SNP seems like the only decent choice in Scottish politics.

  7. @DeadPaul1996

    December 18, 2023 at 6:29 pm

    We need a Reform UK and Conservative alliance 🇬🇧

  8. @trismica

    December 18, 2023 at 6:29 pm

    hopefully not

  9. @Animeadaption

    December 18, 2023 at 6:29 pm

    Ive been an SNP voter for a decade now and was a strong supporter for independence. I wont be continuing that trend in the next elections but equally il never vote Labour.. a party ran by a wetwipe with a knighthood.

  10. @aidan5768

    December 18, 2023 at 6:29 pm

    I think something will happen and Conservative will win.

  11. @taffingtonboathouse5754

    December 18, 2023 at 6:29 pm

    Glasgow worse then stoke on trent?

  12. @Mike-rs1sv

    December 18, 2023 at 6:29 pm

    That's how politics works. Political Parties rarely stay in power for long stints of time one they make mistakes and fall out favor with the people. Then in the 2030 or 2035 General Election the Labor Party will huge mistakes then the people start voting Conservative Again.

  13. @ChaseWright516

    December 18, 2023 at 6:29 pm

    Let's ensure that Republican SNP first minister is kicked out of Holyrood.

  14. @Joker-yw9hl

    December 18, 2023 at 6:29 pm

    An important point that I haven't seen people talk about is the decline in support for the SNP in Scotland ever since 2015 in consecutive elections "despite Brexit"

  15. @leonardgibney2997

    December 18, 2023 at 6:29 pm

    That's how wonderful democracy is. Electorates vote against parties, not for them.

  16. @matthewdelong2902

    December 18, 2023 at 6:29 pm

    What does it mean for a party to lose their deposit?

  17. @joshuahollowell9170

    December 18, 2023 at 6:29 pm

    I don't wanna be that guy, but it's pretty simple right? "My team didn't win this election, this bad for me". Like what did we expect, the conservatives jumping for joy over a by election defeat???

  18. @alexblue6991

    December 18, 2023 at 6:29 pm

    Scotland has a migrant first minster who the people never voted for

  19. @big_slurp4603

    December 18, 2023 at 6:29 pm

    It will be a sight to see to see a return of a red Scotland. If it is paired with a red England I feel like there could be some serious change in the UK after this long entrenched conservative government.

  20. @calummackinnon6956

    December 18, 2023 at 6:29 pm

    This was a result on a turnout of 37%, in an atypical by-election and in a swing seat. I think that should be remembered.

  21. @Bradridge

    December 18, 2023 at 6:29 pm

    A loss in a seat Conservatives were never going to win is a disaster for Conservatives?

  22. @demonshelby1311

    December 18, 2023 at 6:29 pm

    That's not Labour in the thumbnail.

  23. @leonharrison800

    December 18, 2023 at 6:29 pm

    Any win for Labour is a joke. An appalling traitorous party that has the same values as the Tories. Nothing will change for the poor and marginalised or those wanting action on human caused climate disaster..

  24. @riz8437

    December 18, 2023 at 6:29 pm

    You need to remember that the turnout was very low. The result at the general election will be quite different. Its clear that a lot of snp voters didn't bother in protest to the behaviour of Margaret Ferrier.

  25. @BrandonConrady

    December 18, 2023 at 6:29 pm

    It's a shame that the Labour party are wasting their potential major comeback on such a garbage leader as Kier Starmer. The dude is basically Tory lite.

  26. @dezmundo1251

    December 18, 2023 at 6:29 pm

    I think that Labour will need an actual policy on the West Lothian question prior to the next general election to have a chance of winning a significant number of seats in Scotland. Sort of obvious I know! They need to offer more than just "we aren't the tories" to the average scottish voter, where as in England they aren't going to need to work quite as hard.

  27. @Phlegmwahn

    December 18, 2023 at 6:29 pm

    I cannot believe the people of Scotland will return to the Labour party where years of mitigating against the worse of Westminster's policies will just be given up. We may well lose the Scottish Child Payment for our poorest families, the reintroduction of the Bedroom Tax. We might lose free prescriptions and free tuition for our students; the moratoriam on Fracking could be lifted. Make no mistake Anas Sarwar takes his instructions from Westminster, there is no "Scottish" Labour!

  28. @marcuswalters8093

    December 18, 2023 at 6:29 pm

    Why am I not more happy about this?

  29. @tommykeenan4930

    December 18, 2023 at 6:29 pm

    The green policies of Labour and the SNP should be a major concern to us all in Scotland 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁳󠁣󠁴󠁿 i don’t know what the answer is but I fear the worst. I am not saying conservatives are better but I doubt they are any worse

  30. @artrandy

    December 18, 2023 at 6:29 pm

    The way the conflict in the Middle East is leaving many left wingers exposed, by supporting the child executioners of Hamas, could reignite major Labour wounds of anti-Semitism yet.

    All over Europe, net zero is rolling down the immediate agenda, with even Green parties agreeing to coal power stations opening in Germany.

    EU immigration policy is rapidly doing a u turn also.

    The economy is not in great shakes under the Tories, but there are no major improvements Labour can make, without borrowing, and if they do that then they'll recreate the Liz Truss effect. The City of London is the UK's biggest earner, and any Labour victory will put investors on their toes to start with.

    All these are self imposed traps for Labour, and if the Tories introduce policies that put even more blue water between them and Labour on these issues, Labour could fail at the last hurdle, just like they almost always do. Expect the Tories to salvage something from any SNP debacle.

    You might as well rename this the wing and a prayer channel…….

  31. @gilvasquez840

    December 18, 2023 at 6:29 pm

    Labour in the UK and the Democrats in the US have mastered the strategy of “Luigi wins by doing absolutely nothing”

  32. @Felix_the_Cat81

    December 18, 2023 at 6:29 pm

    Please wake me up when both these Maadarachots are on their way back to their respective countries, preferably with that antichrist Sadiq Kahn.

  33. @douglaskinloch6272

    December 18, 2023 at 6:29 pm

    OK, how Scotland votes has not made any difference to any UK election since 1974. Labour can't expect Scots to help them over the line if they drop the ball in England. According to polls they MAY get parity with he SNP, but independence is still at 50/50 and among under 40s it's nearer 75/25. Remember, Labour spent north of a £1million and bussed activists from England in to make up their numbers. Even after the recent drop, there are roughly 10x more SNP members than there are Scottish Labour (which incidentally isn't even a thing, ye gods, even the Tories have devolved their party here). The SNP are in trouble but his seat has yo-yoed at every election since the referendum. We'll see.

  34. @Ofasia777

    December 18, 2023 at 6:29 pm

    All I know for sure is that Sunak won't be leader of the Conservatives for very long.

  35. @slipperydouglas8263

    December 18, 2023 at 6:29 pm

    Clear labour bias from tldr, no mention of mitigating circumstances like the very low turnout. Bad journalism.

  36. @0x0x00

    December 18, 2023 at 6:29 pm

    This is to create conflicks between people. Enemy posts the film.

  37. @jcurtis04

    December 18, 2023 at 6:29 pm

    Come back of Labour hahahahahaha. They called pensioners during the Scot-Ref lying that they would lose their pensions, told lies across the ref about our economy and also backed Conservatives. It should be noted this is UK elections, which Scots take less part off. Also, if they do win seats at next election and get more attention it will be a slap in the face to the Scots who returned an outright majority of SNP MPs in 2016 and it did nothing, as UK just turns its back when it doesn't get what it wants….

  38. @liviiskate

    December 18, 2023 at 6:29 pm

    60% of a 30% turnout. Not placing any bets on who wins at the general election.

  39. @wastelander138

    December 18, 2023 at 6:29 pm

    I doubt Labour will win a majority in Scotland but they certainly will put a considerable dent in the SNP's count. You can't convince the "Independence, by any means" crowd to drop their SNP support, regardless of how poorly they have ran things and how badly they have been lied to.

  40. @FriscoFlame

    December 18, 2023 at 6:29 pm

    Could somebody explain to me as an American what he means when he says rhe Tories "Lost their deposit"?

  41. @chalicotheremapping8921

    December 18, 2023 at 6:29 pm

    Anyone but the SNP greens

  42. @AlexAlex-vn2dz

    December 18, 2023 at 6:29 pm

    Labour will wipe out the snp for unionists

  43. @jasonswan7646

    December 18, 2023 at 6:29 pm

    English people voting Tory for fear of an SNP coalition, surely that's not true. It's bad enough that English MPs wish to deny us a vote on our future, never mind England's people.

  44. @paulsmith1981

    December 18, 2023 at 6:29 pm

    Scots voting for free money from the treasury as per usual.

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SOURCES

Notes on Growth The Really Radical Policy in Labour’s Planning Rewrite
https://www.samdumitriu.com/p/the-really-radical-policy-in-labours

Gov UK NPPF
https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/media/6a8334c03bd75b81e2329ac4/National_Planning_Policy_Framework.pdf

Gov UK Full Steam Ahead to Fast Track More Homes Near Stations
https://www.gov.uk/government/news/full-steam-ahead-to-fast-track-more-homes-near-stations

The Guardian Loosening of Planning Rules in England to Allow More New Homes Near Stations
https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2026/aug/17/loosening-planning-rules-england-more-homes-train-stations-rayner

Local Government Association National Planning Policy Framework Response
https://www.local.gov.uk/about/news/national-planning-policy-framework-lga-response

Independent Minister Admits New Homes Could Be Built on Green Belt
https://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/politics/green-belt-grey-housing-building-labour-trains-b3034056.html

House of Commons Library Overview of the Planning System (England)
https://commonslibrary.parliament.uk/research-briefings/cbp-10752/

Planoraks NPPF2026
https://www.planoraks.com/posts-1/nppf2026-welcome-to-the-future

Housing Today A Pretty Bold Swing – New NPPF
https://www.housingtoday.co.uk/news/a-pretty-bold-swing-new-nppf-ushers-in-an-era-of-permissive-nationally-led-planning-policy-but-could-be-scuppered-by-viability-crisis/5143747.article

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TLDR is a completely independent & privately owned media company that’s not afraid to tackle the issues we think are most important. The channel is run by a small group of young people, with us hoping to pass on our enthusiasm for politics to other young people. We are primarily fan sourced with most of our funding coming from donations and ad revenue. No shady corporations, no one telling us what to say. We can’t wait to grow further and help more people get informed. Help support us by subscribing, engaging and sharing. Thanks!

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TLDR is a completely independent & privately owned media company that’s not afraid to tackle the issues we think are most important. The channel is run by a small group of young people, with us hoping to pass on our enthusiasm for politics to other young people. We are primarily fan sourced with most of our funding coming from donations and ad revenue. No shady corporations, no one telling us what to say. We can’t wait to grow further and help more people get informed. Help support us by subscribing, engaging and sharing. Thanks!

SOURCES

FT Reform Paid Tice Loan on Same Day as £1m Donated by Mother of Farage Aid Cottrell
https://www.ft.com/content/4abf8011-5570-4ad7-9170-fa655295070a

BBC News Police Investigate Donations by Tice Company to Reform UK
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/c5yv4r5g55do

The Guardian Millions of Pounds and Many, Many Questions
https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2026/jul/08/untold-story-why-reform-figures-face-nca-scrutiny-nigel-farage

BBC News Reform UK’s Richard Tice Investigated by Parliamentary Standards Watchdog
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/ceqe24qjgzdo

Reuters Reform UK Deputy Leader Tice Investigated by Parliamentary Watchdog
https://www.reuters.com/world/uk/uk-standards-watchdog-investigating-reform-uk-deputy-leader-tice-2026-08-03/

Bloomberg Reform UK Leaders Sue National Crime Agency Amid Donations Row
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2026-08-07/reform-uk-leaders-sue-national-crime-agency-amid-donations-row

ITV News Met Police Investigate Donations by Richard Tice Company
https://www.itv.com/news/2026-07-26/met-police-investigate-donations-by-richard-tice-company-to-reform-uk

Legislation UK PPERA 2000
https://www.legislation.gov.uk/ukpga/2000/41/section/61

YouGov Party Favourability Ratings July 2026
https://yougov.com/en-gb/articles/55307-party-favourability-ratings-july-2026

YouGov Support for Clacton By-Election
https://yougov.com/en-gb/daily-results/20260708-0098c-1

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