Fashion UK
Global Trends 2040: A More Contested World
In the recently released Global Trends report, the National Intelligence Council detailed five potential scenarios for how the world will look in 20 years. Learn more about the report from the Director of the NIC’s Strategic Futures Group, Maria Langan-Riekhof.
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It’s probably not possible to satisfactorily condense a 12 month’s worth of weird progress in AI, as well as predictions for the year to come, into one video. But I’m gonna try anyway because it has been a very strange time.
http://matsprogram.org/s26-aie
My new app! https://lmcouncil.ai
Patreon Interview: https://www.patreon.com/posts/robot-in-your-27-146376094
Chapters:
00:00 – Introduction
00:34 – Reasoning Models … and limits
02:54 – A playable world
03:36 – Realism
03:50 – AI Slop gone mainstream
05:03 – DolphinGemma
05:39 – Public Mood
07:34 – AI Enlisted
08:30 – GPT-5
11:05 – Open Weight not out
13:00 – METR Breakout
17:30 – VASA-1
18:28 – Lateral Productivity
20:15 – 1 or 1000 benchmarks needed?
24:54 – Continual Learning + Altman on Superintelligence
28:08 – Automated Information Discovery ft AlphaEvolve
Hassabis on Generality: https://x.com/demishassabis/status/2003097405026193809
Gemini 3: https://storage.googleapis.com/gweb-uniblog-publish-prod/original_images/gemini_3_table_final_HLE_Tools_on.gif
Reasoning Trade-offs: https://arxiv.org/pdf/2504.13837
DolphinGemma: https://blog.google/technology/ai/dolphingemma/?s=09
Genie 3: https://deepmind.google/blog/genie-3-a-new-frontier-for-world-models/
METR Time Horizon: https://arxiv.org/pdf/2503.14499
https://metr.org/blog/2025-03-19-measuring-ai-ability-to-complete-long-tasks/
Flaws: https://x.com/ShashwatGoel7/status/2002369517499105443
https://shash42.substack.com/p/how-to-game-the-metr-plot
https://x.com/METR_Evals/status/2002203627377574113
GPT-5 – Altman phd in everything: https://edition.cnn.com/2025/08/14/business/chatgpt-rollout-problems
https://simple-bench.com/
AI Slop: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=I_3vxoJDD9k
https://www.theguardian.com/technology/2025/dec/16/boost-for-artists-in-ai-copyright-battle-as-only-3-per-cent-back-uk-active-opt-out-plan
Survey: https://x.com/SearchlightInst/status/2001057144842387920/photo/1
Nvidia Nemotron: https://x.com/percyliang/status/2000608134205985169
OpenAI Compute Flywheel: https://x.com/OpenAI/status/2001363007209914399/photo/1
Altman Interview: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2P27Ef-LLuQ
AI in Govt: https://x.com/jdcmedlock/status/1939814516503847259
Benchmark Gaming: https://techcrunch.com/2025/04/07/meta-exec-denies-the-company-artificially-boosted-llama-4s-benchmark-scores/
AlphaEvolve: https://deepmind.google/blog/alphaevolve-a-gemini-powered-coding-agent-for-designing-advanced-algorithms/
https://storage.googleapis.com/deepmind-media/DeepMind.com/Blog/alphaevolve-a-gemini-powered-coding-agent-for-designing-advanced-algorithms/AlphaEvolve.pdf?utm_source=deepmind.google&utm_medium=referral&utm_campaign=gdm&utm_content=
Continual Learning: https://abehrouz.github.io/files/NL.pdf
Job Risk: https://archive.ph/20250708204527/https://www.axios.com/2025/05/28/ai-jobs-white-collar-unemployment-anthropic
GPT4o: https://x.com/AISafetyMemes/status/1916889492172013989
Vasa-1: https://www.microsoft.com/en-us/research/project/vasa-1/
Three Views: https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/K2D45BNxnZjdpSX2j/ai-timelines
Turing Test: https://x.com/tunguz/status/1907185471211422147
Karpathy Year in Review: https://karpathy.bearblog.dev/year-in-review-2025/
LLM Brainrot: https://arxiv.org/pdf/2510.13928
Lateral Productivity: https://www.aisi.gov.uk/frontier-ai-trends-report
Emotional Quotient: https://arxiv.org/pdf/2511.08394
Non-hype Newsletter: https://signaltonoise.beehiiv.com/
Podcast: https://aiexplainedopodcast.buzzsprout.com/
AI Insiders ($9!): https://www.patreon.com/AIExplained
Reasoning Models would boost results but not change paradigm
Genie 3 makes the world playable (literally, in the case of yesterday’s news)
DolphinDecoding
Veo 3.1 / Sora 2 / Nano Banana Pro / Elevenlabs Voice/Music
But AI slop everywhere
Public attitude very mixed (Hassabis)
AI gets enlisted in government, but too early to tell jobs/productivity impact
GPT 5 underwhelms but steady gain in coding/users/HLE (strange that it has to explain its future revenue)
Chinese models in dogged pursuit (not quite made it to my top 4/council). And soon Nvidia? Not Meta for now but SAM amazing
METR continues but will be misinterpreted
And 5 Points about 2026
Vasa wrong but …
Lateral Productivity + safety report, extends to robotics (Patreon mention/freaky robot clip)
Benchmark analogy (AI-2027/lesswrong charts), Amodei (codex report suggests not) and Sutskever (but recanted) and Altman (phd) were former, Altman not anymore (but must watch out for brain rot), and we can’t even decide how general we are … Hassabis/Yann debate
Information Progress analogy (still 2-3 years more of exquisite compression (Deepthink) and on next phase there are …
…examples already, Alphas (will it reduce the human bottleneck?) + Emotional Quotient
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Fashion UK
Monsoon Rainfall Alert : Torrential Downpour Prediction In Current Week | Daily Weather Report
Pakistan Weather Update Today | 14 july Weather Forecast | Today Weather Update | Weather Forecast Pakistan | Weather Update Today | 14 july weather forecast
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In this latest weather update, we cover Pakistan weather conditions for 13 july
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Fashion UK
Pitti Uomo 109 Visual Report: The Menswear Trends We Saw in Florence l Suit Yourself Podcast #46
Pitti Uomo 109 is not just a menswear fair. It’s a moving runway, a visual mood board, and a real time report on where classic style …
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2025’s biggest investment opportunity: personalised wellbeing.
Learn more about conscious wellbeing here: https://www.diageo.com/en/news-and-media/consumer-trends-report/foresight-report-2025/conscious-wellbeing
Distilled has uncovered a new movement in consumer behaviour, we are now seeking out wellness in the most personal way. Amongst economic pressure, modern consumers are placing value on physical and mental health with a rise in conversations around mindfulness meditation, outdoor exercise and work life balance to battle against burnout. Learn more in Diageo’s Distilled 2025.
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With over 200 brands sold in more than 180 countries, our portfolio offers something for every taste and celebration. We are a global leader in beverage alcohol with an outstanding collection of brands across spirits and beer; including Guinness, Johnnie Walker and Baileys. We aim for the highest standards in all that we do, mixing responsibility and reliability with incredible flair. Celebrating life, every day, everywhere.
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@TheSmoothkriminal
December 25, 2023 at 10:12 am
we see we see…WRONG… we create fragmentations..we satrt wars….. u virus.
@nunyabeeswax7111
December 25, 2023 at 10:12 am
plz stop spying on allied nations. thx.
@CaptArcadian
December 25, 2023 at 10:12 am
Since completing the standard model in the mid 1970's we have no more frontiers and were regressing inward until we can unify gravity and then were back in the pioneer business. I'm at uni to hopefully build a warp drive myself 🙂
@mouradalger5828
December 25, 2023 at 10:12 am
I am Mourad from Algiers, the United States of America is a great country historically and politically, and it is the only country in the world that protects human and individual rights. Long live America and fall the enemies of America. Long live US President John Biden
@5thdhealth
December 25, 2023 at 10:12 am
I cannot stress enough the importance of honoring my Thirteenth amendment right to free my people from slavery, and making arrangements to stigmatize a certain marginalized population will produce like consequences. As a United States citizen I am entitled to “make and enforce the following contract" [42 U.S. Code §1981(b)]: The employer hires an employee to cover his responsibilities for him, and in return the employee receives monetary compensation to cover the cost of living. I would only choose to provide the other parents share of physical parental obligations for them IN EXCHANGE for 50% financial income in return.
Using my children as “debt bondage” [22 U.S.C Code § 7102 (7)] to “further commit crimes of violence" [18 U.S. Code §25] a totalitarian dictator will replicate the behavior dominant predator in response. https://youtu.be/a2nBUXc83oI Offering campaign funds to politicians who support their agenda the founders of the communist political party elect corrupt government officials into high office, and in turn develop a certification process restricting only those who pay to attend their campuses false immunity from persecution. “The definition of insanity is doing the same thing over and over again and expecting a different result.” -Albert Einstein
Owning the rights to manufacture, distribute, and inject lethal chemicals into seas of people is a major conflict of interest. Leading to horrendous epidemics, civil wars, invasions, crop failures, marauding mercenary armies turned to banditry, and reducing the population by two-thirds the United States government has been overthrown by a drug dealer. https://youtu.be/65TbPkOpmNE Competing for territory he hires a criminal street gang to increase sales, and as an authority figure I understand I would have no right to judge unless I could obey my own law. The limitations I set reduce harm by preventing the development of the criminal held responsible altogether. I wouldn’t bother establishing law at all if my intentions were to inflict brutal punishment, and persecuting the Mother/Israel when I claim the fruits of my own labor is what lead to the Holocaust in the first place, and despite having written over a thousand letters he will actually believe he can deceive the hand of the author.
@unitednationscommand9356
December 25, 2023 at 10:12 am
Maria, if the reports to policy makers done by your team, have fundametally no predictable views, you should be fired.
@jacobengbert8914
December 25, 2023 at 10:12 am
Oh god oh fuck oh god oh fuck oh god oh fuck oh god oh fuck oh god oh fuck Oh god oh fuck oh god oh fuck oh god oh fuck oh god oh fuck oh god oh fuck
@mr.calvinwyche1332
December 25, 2023 at 10:12 am
Hi Guys, following President Biden's speech to Congress the question becomes from a USA equity and infrastructure point of view. What's actually is measuring up? Coupled with the plight of "global trends", how far and/or closely are we at meeting our goals as a nation? The "key factors reiterated" are US Infrastructure, Cybersecurity, and holding our prowess.
@lovaravonimanantsoa8583
December 25, 2023 at 10:12 am
👍🏽